Job and Wage Gains as Americans Rejoin the Work Force
The
economy barreled through the last three months with strong momentum,
the Labor Department said Friday, as American employers added 257,000
jobs in January, wage growth rebounded and more people went looking for
work in an improving labor market.
With
new figures on the last two months of the year, 2014 turned out to be
the strongest year for job gains since 1999. The government revised
upward the already healthy figures for payroll gains in November and
December, increasing their estimate by 147,000. All told, the economy
added, on average, 260,000 jobs a month over the course of the year.
“This
is the best employment report we’ve had in a long time,” said Guy
Berger, United States economist at RBS. “The labor market looks like
it’s in really good shape as we head into 2015.”
The
Labor Department said on Friday that the unemployment rate inched up to
5.7 percent, from 5.6 percent. But even that apparent setback was
mostly good news, as it was primarily because more Americans said they
were encouraged enough by their job prospects to actively look for work.
Average
hourly earnings rose 0.5 percent in January, the biggest monthly gain
in more than six years, though it followed a disappointing drop in
December. Over the last 12 months, wages advanced at a 2.2 percent pace,
significantly ahead of the inflation rate.
The
overall picture was so strong, Mr. Berger said, that the Federal
Reserve might begin its long-awaited move to raise short-term interest
rates in June, a step many economists had been expecting to be delayed
until September.
“I
still think it will be September, but the odds of a June increase have
gone up somewhat,” Mr. Berger added. “The fact that the economy didn’t
lose a step in January bolsters the case that inflation could hit the
Fed’s target.”
Other
experts echoed Mr. Berger’s take. “Employment growth is astonishingly
strong,” said Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon
Macroeconomics, in a note to clients immediately after the 8:30 a.m.
release. “With every indicator we follow screaming that payrolls will be
very strong for the foreseeable future, wage pressures will intensify.”
No comments:
Post a Comment